Wednesday, December 7, 2016

Cartels of Mexico and the profitability of cocaine

At Stratfor, we closely follow the criminal cartels in Mexico. In fact, we are carrying out the forecast of 2013 cartels, which will be published later this month. Through the Mexican cartels to analyze, we recognize that their actions and interactions between them to understand, we must recognize that in their hearts, they are companies and not politically motivated activist organizations. This means that although the violence between and among the cartels is taking a lot of the spotlight, a careful analysis of the cartel on violence has to look at business factors, fuel their interests - and their bankroll.

There are several different commercial factors that have a great impact on the behavior of the cartels. One example is the growth cycle and harvest of marijuana in the Sierra Madre Occidental. Another reason is the industrialization of the production of methamphetamine in Mexico and the rising profit margin it has provided Mexican cartels in recent years. But when we examine the behavior of the transnational Mexican cartels, the most important factor that affects this behavior is undoubtedly the economy of cocaine trade.

The Cocaine Profit Chain

Cocaine is derived from coca leaves and three countries - Colombia, Peru and Bolivia - account for the totality of coca harvested in the world. Transformation coca cocaine hydro chloride is a relatively einfach prozessus in three stages. Once the leaves of the coca are harvested, in der Nähe von Cote d'Azur. From there, the coca paste is transformed into cocaine Basis, which eventually becomes Cocaine Hydro chloride. The process involves several chemical precursors: kerosene, sulfuric acid Natrium Karbonate, hydrochloric acid Kalium permanganate and acetone. Most of these chemicals are readily available and ergänzungen replaced or replaced, making them difficult to regulate.

According to figures from the United Nations Office for Drugs and Crime, the Colombian Koka will receive 1.30 per kg of fresh coca leaf gießen $. In Peru and Bolivia, where the leaf is air-dried before being sold, farmers receive $ 3.00 per kg.

For the fresh leaf used in the transformation in Kolumbien, between 450 and 600 kg of coca leaf produce 1 kg of cocaine, depending on the coca variety used (some varieties have a high content of cocaine alkaloids). At $ 1.30 per kg, it means that it costs between $ 585 and $ 780 gießen kaufen the coca leaf needed to produce a kilogram of cocaine gießen. One kg of cocaine base can then be converted into about one kg of cocaine hydrochloride, which is commonly referred to as cocaine.

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